Analyses:
On July 14 at 22:30 GMT, Retrô will take on CSA at Arena Pernambuco in São Lourenço da Mata, counting for the 12th round of the Braxilian Série C. While the hosts are at the bottom of the table trying to recover the season, the visitors are four points away from the promotion spot. With a few points between teams in both extremes, a win for any team will change their position.
Special Features:
Retrô’s first season in the Brazilian first tier turns out to be a disaster, having won just 2 games in 11 rounds. The Soberano Recifense are in a 2-game losing streak, following a 4-0 and 2-0 loses. Even worse, in their last 5 games, a 1 draw and 4 defeats record, they have conceded 7 goals to no response. If this performance persists in the following rounds, it will see them returning to Série D next season.
Three wins, and two losses is what CSA managed in their last 5 games in all competitions. Their most recent victory, a 2-1 win over Ferroviário in the Copa do Nordeste Quarterfinals, showcased their attacking prowess, forcing João Vitor Soares to make outstanding saves, including a penalty kick. Though the visitors’ have admirable qualities, their record of 1 win in 5 games on the road is something to consider before taking the final decision.
Suggestion:
Retrô are slight favorites in this duel, though the stats might indicate otherwise. However, despite winning twice and drawing once in their last 5 home games, coming to this match with 2 consecutive loss at Arena Pernambuco raises questions about the bookmakers offers. The 1X2 market offers @2.46 for the home win, @3.18 for an away victory, and @2.8 for a tie.
Considering CSA’s current form and their experience in the league, the best move is to open an account made for winners and back the visitors to win with a +0 AH paying @2.18 at the moment. The odds will likely drop soon, so waste no more time and act now!